Improving risk assessment and survival of patients

Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML) accounts for 1-2% of all tumor-related deaths. This form of cancer can occur at all ages, but the incidence of AML rises with age. Survival without treatment is on average about half a year. Treatment of AML consists of multiple cycles of intensive chemotherapies and, depending on the risk of relapse, also autologous or allogenic stem cell transplantation. For the choice of the latter the relatively high treatment-related mortality (2% to more than 10%) has to be taken into account. AML has considerable heterogeneity in underlying genetics, mechanisms, and patient-related characteristics. The five-year survival varies from 15 to 70%, depending on risk-group classification.

Patients with different forms of AML need different therapeutic interventions for optimal survival. In conventional medicine, AML was considered a single disease, with limited therapeutic progress

John Jacobs, Data Scientist at ORTEC Health

"Our goal is to differentially analyze the complex data to determine which parameters relate with outcomes for various therapies to improve and further personalize AML treatment."

Personalized medicine and personalized risk classification to identify patients at risk for developing a relapse are currently suboptimal and rely on characteristics of patients, their treatment responses, tumor cytogenetics and mutations. John Jacobs Data Scientist at ORTEC Health explains: “The aim is to develop an accurate prediction model to improve risk assessment and survival of patients after the first induction chemotherapy cycles to determine the best therapeutic regime. Within patient’s disease follow-up should be compared between patients with similar molecular and/or immunological characterization of their tumors. This includes follow-up of changes in the characterization of minimal residual disease (MRD, red.), i.e. the presence of deviant blood cell precursors that might be tumor cells.” Structuring complex data is a high-level specialization from medical research requiring integration of the medical, mathematical and ICT insights. Jacobs: “Our goal is to differentially analyze the complex data to determine which parameters relate with outcomes for various therapies to improve and further personalize AML treatment.”

Developing algorithms for clinical decision support tools

ORTEC structures complex medical data from various sources, like centralized patient follow-up and experimental laboratory data on various tumor markers and their numbers in time. Patient data from various source databases are transferred to ORTEC LogiqCare through the Extract-Transform-Load (ETL) process. These patient data are synced anonymously in the Big Data Portal to have structured data ready for Spotfire analysis for mathematical and statistical research on the structured data. Other research groups from Europe and beyond have expressed their interest to cooperate in this data research project. The objective is to develop algorithms that will be implemented for clinical decision support tools to optimize treatment decisions by physicians and patients.

In conventional medicine, complex data are reduced prior analytics. In personalized medicine, complex data are differentially analyzed in different interventions to optimize therapy for each patient group independently.

About the author

John Jacobs is product owner of medical products LogiqCare and U-Prevent in the Health department at ORTEC. John has a PhD in immunology and extensive experience in medical data science and ICT projects. He has a passion for personalized medicine and improving of health. John sees the integration of medical domain knowledge, math and ICT as crucial steps for the progress to medicine.

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